主办：陕西省汽车工程学会
ISSN 1671-7988  CN 61-1394/TH
创刊：1976年
汽车实用技术

汽车实用技术 ›› 2026, Vol. 51 ›› Issue (3): 68-73.DOI: 10.16638/j.cnki.1671-7988.2026.003.012

• 设计研究 • 上一篇    

以市场为导向的可靠耐久性目标建立研究

侯加振   

  1. 广州汽车集团股份有限公司 汽车工程研究院
  • 发布日期:2026-02-04
  • 通讯作者: 侯加振
  • 作者简介:侯加振（1980－），男，硕士，工程师，研究方向为整车性能集成

Research on Durability and Reliability Target Setting Regarding to Market-Oriented

HOU Jiazhen   

  1. Automobile Engineering Institute, Guangzhou Automobile Group Company Limited
  • Published:2026-02-04
  • Contact: HOU Jiazhen

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摘要： 可靠耐久性是定义汽车产品力的重要指标之一，构建以市场为导向的可靠耐久性目标 设定体系，能为可靠耐久性开发目标设定提供方法参考。该方法基于可靠耐久理论、可靠耐 久性目标建立的度量、应力-强度干涉模型、B10 寿命，以及产品全生命周期故障失效率浴盆 曲线，提出融合统计学的可靠性目标预测线性回归属性模型，运用市场售后数据分析，同时 考虑实际产品开发中新技术、新平台和新装备对可靠性目标千车故障数（IPTV）影响，形成 了一套完整的基于市场售后数据的可靠耐久性目标 IPTV 建立流程方法。结合某企业售后数据 案例，实践结果表明，最终设定未来三年可靠性 IPTV 目标为 58.5，可靠性产品力相对现状 提升了 21%，该目标既满足产品力需求，又兼顾开发成本控制。

关键词: 可靠性；B10 寿命；失效概率；耐久性；IPTV

Abstract: Reliability and durability are key metrics defining automotive product competitiveness. Establishing a market-oriented target-setting system for reliability and durability, providing a methodological reference for reliability and durability development objectives definition. The methodology is based on reliability and durability foundations, reliability and durability metrics target established metrics, the stress-strength interference model, B10 life, and the bathtub curve of product failure rate over the entire life cycle. It introduces a statistically-integrated linear regression attribute model for reliability target prediction. By utilizing after-sales market data analysis and explicitly accounting for the impact of new technologies, new platforms, and new equipment on the reliability target of incidents per thousand vehicles (IPTV) during actual product development, a comprehensive process and methodology for establishing reliability and durability targets IPTV based on market after-sales data is formulated. Through a case study using an enterprise's after-sales data, practical results demonstrate that the final next three-year reliability IPTV target is set at 58.5. This represents a 21% improvement in reliability-driven product competitiveness compared to the current level. This target effectively balances the requirements for enhanced product competitiveness with development cost control imperatives.

Key words: reliability; B10 life; failure probability; durability; IPTV